If those who see the impending demise of weather forecasters (ARSTechnica Article Link ) talk with operational meteorologists–folks who have the immense responsibility to produce warnings and forecasts in real time–the general consensus would likely be that until automated forecasts are able to forecast the weather that matters most to protect life (e.g., tornados, convective winds, etc.), with greater precision and accuracy, there will be a significant role for a meteorologist in developing short-range (less than one day) forecasts and warnings. For longer range forecasts, the value of a forecaster becomes more expertise and skill dependent, and numerical weather prediction models and statistical methods will generally outperform. Automated forecasts are good and progressing every day, but still are not accurate or granular enough for local scale events. To improve automated local scale forecasts, we need denser real time measurements, better convective parametrization, and more computing to assimilate data faster at much lower latency and higher resolution than today. These advancements still require more science, and the solutions are not cheap. So for the foreseeable future, meteorologists will remain an important component in the forecast process in local scale, high impact warnings and forecasts.
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